Trust in Elections

Election Fraud Boosted Future Presidents. Now It Barely Exists.

The historical record makes clear that fraud once affected major elections in American history. But changes in society, law, and election administration have made it all but disappear.

Boss Tweed leans on a ballot box labeled The Ballot; the wall reads In Counting There Is Strength
Boss Tweed leans on a ballot box in Thomas Nast's 1871 cartoon for Harper's Weekly. (Thomas Nast / Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons)

Lyndon Baines Johnson is one of the most consequential presidents in American history. He oversaw the Great Society agenda, which produced landmark civil rights laws and a massive expansion of the social safety net, including the creation of Medicaid and Medicare. He signed legislation to reform the immigration system and increase the federal government’s commitment to higher education. All that is without mentioning Vietnam. “In a very real sense, we are living today in the country that Johnson and his Congress made,” as a book publisher’s note about him reads.

Also in a very real sense — it is possible that his story never would have been written without a hand from election fraud.

In 1990, the eminent biographer Robert Caro published the second in a four-volume set about Johnson, cheekily named “Means of Ascent,” in which he concluded that LBJ had stolen an 87-vote win against his Democratic primary opponent with the help of crucial party bosses and enforcers. ''People have been saying for 40 years, 'No one knows what really happened in that election,' and 'Everybody does it.' Neither of those statements is true,” Caro told the New York Times in an interview. “I don't think that this is the only election that was ever stolen, but there was never such brazen thievery.''

Johnson was credibly alleged, including by a crooked election judge in 1977, to benefit from some of the oldest and most asinine tricks in the book, such as vote-buying, forged ballots, and inflated totals, and a “political machine” that was able to facilitate and protect the scheme. Even a campaign aide to Johnson said that Caro’s account was factual; his problem was that it stripped out the context of cheating up and down the ballot.

Lyndon Johnson stands in the doorway of a helicopter, addressing a crowd of people in hats
Congressman Lyndon Johnson speaks to a crowd from his campaign helicopter in Hillsboro, Texas, during the 1948 Senate race. (LBJ Presidential Library / Ben H. Johnson)

The Texas Senate race of 1948 takes its place alongside such examples as the presidential campaign of 1876 and “Bleeding Kansas” of actual, real-deal election fraud, which helped determine the course of American politics. They are not in dispute, but rather documented by the likes of Caro; the University of Kentucky historian Tracy Campbell in his vignette-filled history, “Deliver the Vote;” Cornell University’s Richard Franklin Bensel in his more specific survey, “The American Ballot Box in the Mid-Nineteenth Century;” and many other local historians and journalists.

Their work is an aggregation of contemporary sources — of official congressional and state government accounts, independent investigative findings, press reports, individual correspondence — which explains how, in the aggregate, illegitimate election results were not unusual in American politics during the 19th and much of the 20th centuries. The contexts varied, from machine politics in big cities to racial violence in the Reconstruction-to-pre-Civil Rights Era South. But the methods and questionable results that arose were often similar. Such methods can be said to define what “election fraud” actually is: as a direct tactic, the manipulation of ballots and vote-counting, and as part of a broader conspiracy, the coordinated efforts to count ineligible votes and thwart eligible voters to benefit a candidate or cause.

Here, as it is said, is the thing. Elections for high office, despite being decentralized, together have evolved to be essentially “secure” because of local and macro changes: the disappearance of machine politics; the introduction of technology for maintaining and scrutinizing voter lists; the professionalization and depoliticization of election administration itself; and the force of modern laws and cultural norms, which deter and punish criminal and unethical behavior that violates contemporary values of wide participation and fairness. These developments have not eliminated unlawful election conduct altogether. But the numbers that we do know, which have been vetted and whose methodologies are transparent and sound, indicate that election fraud of recent decades has been committed mostly at the individual level, at a scale of the hundreds — when hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of millions of votes have been cast.

Below is an abridged timeline of election fraud in the United States, which highlights significant examples of its existence as well as the progress of eliminating it. It is far closer to being an overview than to being exhaustive. Yet it hopefully is sufficient to satisfy its purpose, to demonstrate two, non-mutually exclusive facts: that election fraud once was a problem which marred our image of self-government, but now it has been addressed to such a degree that it has a negligible effect on major elections, for president, Congress, and statewide office. We hope it provides a foundation for having reasonable, rational debates about the trajectory of election policy and administration: government processes that are neither above scrutiny nor deserving of absolute doubt. We are publishing it as the votes in the 2026 Midterms begin to be counted — not coincidental timing, so that readers can have the steady context of history in mind as the turbulent, minute-by-minute, claim-by-claim developments of current events compromise our capacity to think clearly.


An 1856 political cartoon: Liberty, as a kneeling woman, pleads with armed men on the Kansas plains

1700s–1850s

The colonies to Bleeding Kansas

Colonial Era to Civil War

America’s earliest elections were often wild, corrupt, and drunk.

Attributed to J. L. Magee, 1856. Library of Congress / Public domain.

Booze, bribery, beatings — all were just part of another election day, in a town or city picked at random, in the times of Colonial and pre-Civil War America.

George Washington, that eventual model of presidential restraint and dignity, spent a significant sum (several thousand dollars in today’s money) on stocking voters with liquor so as to secure their support in his election to the Virginia House of Burgesses in 1758, a practice that the colony soon outlawed. Not that a ban was practical to enforce. Bensel documented the prevalence of this tactic of “treating” in other jurisdictions long after. “Whisky, it seems, bought as many, and perhaps far more, votes than the planks in party platforms,” he wrote.

A crowded 19th-century painting of men lined up on courthouse steps on election day
Voting aloud on the courthouse steps, and a drink for a voter in the foreground: George Caleb Bingham’s “The County Election,” 1852.

Party bosses and other powerful men could exploit human weakness and socioeconomic gaps with other bribes, of cash and clothing, to secure votes, including from aliens in many places. Physical intimidation and violence at voting locations were common. “[A]lthough popular voting is the quintessential characteristic of a democratic political system, the polling place, in nineteenth-century America, was often one of the less democratic sites in the nation,” argued Bensel.

“The smaller the election, the easier it is to steal.”

Tracy Campbell, Deliver the Vote

Campbell, the University of Kentucky historian, established a rule of thumb that remains relevant today: “The smaller the election, the easier it is to steal. Local elections are easier to corrupt than state elections; state elections are easier to corrupt than national ones.” In early America, however, the latter were still plenty exposed. James K. Polk, the 11th president, won decisive states in the 1844 election by narrow margins that critics attributed — with the context of an enabling culture and strong anecdotal evidence on their side — to the dirty tactics of the day: “padding voter lists with illegal immigrants; buying votes with liquor or cash; and stuffing ballot boxes with impunity.” In Louisiana, Campbell wrote that local Democrats organized to bring in voters from other parishes — an approach that was taken at larger scale amid Bleeding Kansas.

Anti-slavery people from the Northeast and pro-slavery Missourians alike traveled there. The latter rallied to influence Kansas’s selection of its first delegate to the U.S. Congress in 1854 — an effort that resulted in Congress vacating the seat nearly two years later. “[A] systematic invasion from an adjoining State, by which large numbers of illegal votes were cast in remote and sparse settlements, for the avowed purpose of extending slavery into the Territory, even though it did not change the result of the election, was a crime of great magnitude,” a congressional report delivered by Michigan representative William A. Howard read.


Nast cartoon of the Tammany tiger loose in an arena, mauling a figure of the Republic

1860s–1870s

New York City

Machine Politics

Tammany Hall controlled who voted and how often, until a newspaper exposé and a cartoonist brought Boss Tweed down.

Thomas Nast, Harper’s Weekly, 1871 / Public domain

It was often the case that local “political machines” organized and abetted vote-rigging strategies. The most infamous in the 19th century was Tammany Hall in New York City, run by William M. “Boss” Tweed. It was able to control who voted and how often, and ensure friendly judges naturalized new immigrants by the thousands in a single season before elections: “In 1868 alone, over 65,000 people were naturalized in the courtrooms controlled by Tammany,” Campbell wrote.

Studio portrait of William M. Tweed, a heavy-set man with a beard, seated
William M. “Boss” Tweed. (Mathew Brady / Library of Congress)

“Was the election [that year] fair? Tweed later admitted that ‘I don’t think there was ever a fair and honest election in New York City.’”

Tweed’s undoing, however, began in 1871, when The New York Times published several accounts of Tammany’s abuses. And Thomas Nast's cartoons in Harper's Weekly turned numbers about the money it stole into images that even non-readers could follow, which touched a nerve with the ringleader.

Nast cartoon of Tweed with a money bag in place of his head
Nast cartoon of the Tammany Ring in a circle, each man pointing at the next
Nast cartoon of a giant Tweed looming over a small police officer
Engraving of the arrest of Tweed in Spain
  1. Thomas Nast drew Tweed with a sack of money for a head.

    Thomas Nast, “The Brains,” Harper’s Weekly, October 21, 1871

  2. Asked who stole the people’s money, every member of the Tammany Ring points to the man beside him.

    Thomas Nast, “Who Stole the People’s Money?” Harper’s Weekly, August 19, 1871

  3. Nast drew Tweed as a giant thief towering over the police officer sent to arrest him.

    Thomas Nast, “Can the Law Reach Him?” Harper’s Weekly, January 6, 1872

  4. After Tweed fled the country, Spanish police recognized him from a Nast caricature.

    “The Arrest of Mr. W. M. Tweed,” Harper’s Weekly, 1876

While machine politics, including Tammany’s, continued into the 20th century, Tweed’s downfall became a useful foil for political reformers in the years ahead, and coincided with arguably the nadir of election fraud at the presidential level.


1876–1877

Florida, Louisiana, and South Carolina

Hayes-Tilden

Both parties manipulated the votes in 1876. Republicans simply had more muscle and skill where it mattered most.

U.S. Capitol, c. 1940s. Footage: Shutterstock

The 1876 general election between Ohio governor Rutherford B. Hayes, the Republican, and New York governor Samuel Tilden, the Democrat, has been studied in recent years as part of resolving a presidential contest whose results are in dispute. “While the story of how the contest was decided in the weeks and months after the votes were cast has been exhaustively covered,” however, Campbell wrote — in a book published in 2005, mind you — “the role of fraud in the election itself has tended to be obscured.” In his view, the election of 1876 “was the culmination of over a decade’s worth of election corruption where both parties saw each other as deliberately stealing elections.”

Portrait of Rutherford B. Hayes, bearded, in a dark coat

Rutherford B. Hayes

Portrait of Samuel J. Tilden, clean-shaven, in a dark coat

Samuel J. Tilden

From the Republican point of view, Democratic efforts to disenfranchise Republican supporters in the South, especially black voters, made politics unrepresentative of the sum will of the people. From the Democratic point of view, enfranchisement of former slaves was corrupt in itself — it was more about increasing Republican political power than it was a matter of justice.

In 1876, these theories of the case were tested to the max. Republicans accused, accurately, Democrats of disenfranchising Republican voters in Florida and Louisiana, and of cooking vote totals in their favor. Democrats accused, accurately, Republicans of post-election maneuvers during vote canvassing to diminish Democratic votes in those states, as well as in South Carolina. In the end, Hayes became president. But “[it] was not that the Democrats were innocent victims who had a free and fair election stolen from under their noses,” Campbell wrote: “rather, they did not have the muscle or the skill of their Republican counterparts when and where it mattered most.”

Nast cartoon on the disputed 1876 election
Thomas Nast, “A Truce — Not a Compromise,” Harper’s Weekly, February 17, 1877.

1867 engraving of Black men lining up to cast their first votes

1890s

The South

Jim Crow South

Southern Democrats rewrote their constitutions to disenfranchise the voters they had been cheating.

“The First Vote,” Alfred R. Waud, Harper’s Weekly, November 16, 1867. Library of Congress / Public domain

These battles in the South presaged the arrival of Jim Crow. No story about election fraud is sufficient without at least mentioning it — not because it was the next step, but because its designers regarded it as a remedy. As a University of Alabama Law brief reads:

“In the late 1890s, after overcoming serious challenges to their power, Alabama Democratic politicians decided to take decisive action. They had used various illegal tactics — chiefly ballot-box stuffing — to defeat ‘fusionist’ coalitions of agrarians, Populists, and Republicans. They had won the elections; they remained in power. But in the process their exercise of power had lost any claim to a basis in morality. In order to prevent future challenges (and to shield themselves from the temptation to cheat), they decided to follow a plan first carried out in Mississippi in 1890 and since perfected in other southern states. The plan’s chief feature was the adoption of a new constitution, one whose voter registration provisions would disfranchise large numbers of citizens. African American voters were the primary targets; but significant numbers of hill country white voters were likewise vulnerable.”

A printed poll tax receipt from Jefferson County, Alabama, dated 1920
A $1.50 poll tax receipt from Jefferson County, Alabama, 1920.

Campbell cited before-and-after voter registration statistics to make that exact point in Louisiana. In 1897, there were 164,088 registered white voters and 130,344 registered black voters. In 1900, those numbers had declined to 125,437 and 5,320, respectively.


1934

Kansas City, Missouri

Kansas City

Tom Pendergast’s machine ran the city, its elections and the early career of Harry S. Truman.

A U.S. city street in the 1930s. Footage: Shutterstock

Although election chicanery in the South continued, the machine politics whose traits are of most concern to Americans with doubts about elections today were practiced regardless of Civil War geography. The former border state of Missouri, Confederate state of Texas, and Union state of Illinois alike were infamous for machinations that helped produce American presidents. Chronologically, the first of these was in Kansas City, and involved a boss named Tom Pendergast and his protégé Harry S. Truman.

For nearly a decade and a half, Pendergast “dictated the terms of day-to-day business in the city, including the operations of the police department, judicial appointments, elections officials, parks and recreation, and roads,” wrote the Missouri historian and Pendergast expert Jason Roe. Not mentioned but certainly counting were elections themselves. “The 1934 primary election in Kansas City had been so violent that it became known as the ‘Bloody Election,’” an FBI look-back at its investigations of Pendergast’s machine reads, “with thugs … committing acts of violence and intimidation against opponents and voters across the city. The fraudulent reporting of election results was even more damaging to the democratic process — precincts returned astronomical participation rates.”

Two men in suits standing together, James Pendergast and Harry Truman

James Pendergast (left) with Harry S. Truman

Senator Harry Truman seated at a desk

Sen. Harry S. Truman

Harry Truman’s political career began inside the Pendergast organization.

One participant in that election was Truman, Kansas City’s man, who sought a Senate seat against a St. Louis-machine backed candidate, John Cochran — and, ironically, a candidate, Rep. Jacob Milligan, whose brother Maurice later successfully prosecuted Missouri election fraud. The three ran neck-and-neck outside the two major cities, with Truman edging Milligan by 6,000 votes and ahead of Cochran by 21,000. But in St. Louis, Cochran ran 111,000 votes ahead of second place, and in K.C., Truman ran 129,000 ahead. Pendergast’s operation was busted for fraud in the election two years later; it was credited for manufacturing tens of thousands of “ghost” votes, from the likes of the dead and people whose names were attached to empty lots and vacant buildings.


1948

Alice, Texas

Texas

Forged ballots and a friendly political machine delivered Lyndon Johnson an 87-vote primary win.

Home movie, c. 1941. Footage: Shutterstock

The Democratic machine in Texas that helped Lyndon Johnson to the Senate hardly needs an introduction, but Campbell provides an eye-popping one: “In Jim Wells and Duval counties, bosses ruled in ways that would have humbled Tom Pendergast.” The one who delivered LBJ his political future was George Parr, along with his henchman, Jim Wells County election judge Luis “Indio” Salas.

“Johnson did not win the election; It was stolen for him. And I know exactly how it was done,” Salas told the AP in 1977, for a story in which he detailed the conspiracy.

The short of it is that Johnson faced former Gov. Coke Stevenson in a runoff to determine the Democratic nominee for Senate in 1948. During the initial, three-way primary, Stevenson won 40 percent of the vote, and Johnson 34. Johnson’s private polling had found him gaining on Stevenson in advance of the runoff, but his momentum stalled during the final week-plus.

Lyndon Johnson beside his campaign helicopter

Lyndon B. Johnson, 1948 Senate campaign

Portrait of former Texas Gov. Coke Stevenson in a hat

Coke Stevenson

Johnson barnstormed Texas by helicopter in the 1948 runoff. Right: his opponent, former Gov. Coke Stevenson.

“Campaigning was no good any more. We had to pick up some votes,” a legal ally of Johnson’s, Ed Clark, told Caro for his book, “Means of Ascent.” That meant securing the support of “ethnic” blocs, including Mexican-Americans, at whatever financial cost. Salas recalled Parr telling him: “Luis, do not hesitate. Spend all the money necessary, but we have to have Johnson elected.”

“Campaigning was no good any more. We had to pick up some votes.”

Ed Clark, Johnson ally, to Robert Caro

Thanks to a combination of smart politics (Johnson dividing Stevenson’s conservative base with accusations about his stance on labor) and dirty politics, Johnson’s actual deficit the morning after Election Day was just 854 votes. Six days later, after the production and/or manufacturing of more Johnson votes in counties with margins befitting a dictator, it had shrunk to 113. Salas’s precinct in Jim Wells County provided the final push. “The figure [there] for Johnson, which had been reported as 765 on Election Night, was now 965 — because, according to testimony that would later be given, someone had, since Election Night, added a loop to the ‘7’ to change it into a ‘9,’” Caro wrote. “Johnson had 200 more votes.”


Chicago Mayor Richard J. Daley speaking, in black and white

1972

Chicago, Illinois

Chicago

The last of the big-city machines was exposed by a local newspaper and the DOJ.

Chicago Mayor Richard J. Daley.

Salas got away with it, talking to the press three decades after the fact to seek “peace of mind.” Because of the Chicago Tribune, dozens of cogs in Richard J. Daley’s machine did not.

In 1972, the paper assigned 26 reporters, some to serve as election judges and poll watchers, and a pivotal one to gain employment as a clerk for the city election board, to investigate the machine’s practices. “There was ghost voting, there were threats, there were irregularities. The identities of voters were not checked. The precinct captains ran everything,” a description of its yearlong investigative reporting reads. “There was campaigning in the polling place, party workers went into the voting booths with voters and tampered with the voting machines — all in violation of the law.”

The reporter who secured access as a clerk was able to secure documentary proof for many of these experiences and allegations. The work was published and also referred to federal prosecutors. The Tribune won a Pulitzer; several dozen indictments and at least 30 sentences for fraud followed; and the machine was clanging and slowing.

Illustration of the Chicago skyline
Richard Nixon at the 1960 Republican National Convention in Chicago
  1. Chicago’s Democratic organization delivered the city. Its precinct captains knew their wards house by house.

  2. In 1960, presidential nominee Richard Nixon’s allies charged that Daley’s machine had stolen the state from him. Most historians are skeptical.

  3. However, the findings in ’72 were not in dispute, and marked the final unraveling of machine politics nationally.

    A voter uses a lever voting machine, Milwaukee, 1962. Footage: Shutterstock

“This city, ruled from its beginnings by an interlocking alliance of businessmen, politicians and hoodlums so intricate that their roles shade into one another, once again is facing the possibility of a wave of reform,” a New York Times analysis from December 1972 begins. “And while few here would discount the resources of power at the command of Mayor Richard J. Daley, there are serious signs pointing to the political deterioration of the Cook County Democratic organization, the last and most famous of the big‐city machines.”


An election official demonstrates an electronic poll book on a laptop

Today

Nationwide

Modernization

New laws and technology, professional election offices, and the context of modern society have made election fraud at scale all but disappear.

A Minnesota election official demonstrates an e-poll book program, Hennepin County.

Leaping a half-century into the future and saying that all is now well could appear to wipe away, like a magic swipe of an eraser across a full whiteboard, a 200-year story of pure power surmounting idealistic fairness. But to carry the imagery forward: The writing on the wall was fading as of the 1970s and after. The Times’s observation about the last vestige of machine politics in Chicago was indicative of election fraud widely.

Consider: Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, and Bill Clinton all won consecutive presidential elections that we would properly consider “landslides” today, unlike the closely divided popular and Electoral College votes that have characterized most of the races this century. In the 80s and 90s, the rationale for political machines, including socioeconomic divisions and the allure of patronage in hard economic times, was disappearing. A well-resourced, abundant, vigilant, and independent press was making their schemes more difficult to get away with, regardless. At both the national and local levels, what made election fraud “a thing” in the 19th and first two-thirds of the 20th centuries was no longer a significant part of politics.

The Florida recount of 2000 was a reminder of the stress and controversy of close election results and partisan election administration. But it happened at a time of digital technological development and prompted a law, the Help America Vote Act, which provided funds for modernizing election administration and established standards for voter list maintenance.

President George W. Bush seated at a desk signing the Help America Vote Act, surrounded by lawmakers
President George W. Bush signs the Help America Vote Act of 2002 into law. The legislation authorized 3.9 billion dollars for improvements in state and local election systems. “Each state will be required to maintain a clean and current and accurate statewide list of registered voters, making it easier to register and easier to detect fraud,” explained Bush. (White House photo by Paul Morse)

We now live in a country in which 96 percent of voters live in jurisdictions with hand-marked or printable ballots that they can inspect and confirm before submitting; in which ballot scanners and verifiable voter rolls have preempted possibilities for fudging in-person voting numbers; and in which list maintenance practices, ballot tracking and verification and storage, and the widespread adoption of post-election audits have provided extra layers of assurance for accurate vote counts, regardless of ballot type.

All this goes without mentioning the investigative resources at the federal government’s disposal, which arose in part from the Watergate and Civil Rights Eras. Some of those resources, such as the Justice Department’s Public Integrity Unit, have been drawn back during the Trump era; and new ones, such as the Department of Homeland Security’s investigative arm, have been put on elections, specifically noncitizen voting.

With all these developments in society, administrative practice, and law, which together form strong deterrents and a security net, the incidence and impact of election fraud today are negligible, as tracked by sources such as Declare and the Heritage Foundation. In identifying why, it helps to consider the times when that was not the case.